Thursday, April 24, 2008

AlGore meets his Berezina


The previous time a cycle was delayed like this was in the Dalton Minimum, an especially cold period that lasted several decades from 1790. Northern winters became ferocious: in particular, the rout of Napoleon's Grand Army during the retreat from Moscow in 1812 was at least partly due to the lack of sunspots.

Who besides the French would attack Russia in the Winter?

The present interglacial period we have enjoyed throughout recorded human history, called the Holocene, began 11,000 years ago, so an ice age is overdue. And glaciation can occur quickly: The required decline in global temperature is about 12 C and it can happen in 20 years. The next descent into an ice age is inevitable but may not happen for another 1,000 years. The cooling in 2007 was even faster than in typical glacial transitions. If it continued for 20 years, the temperature would be 14 C cooler in 2027.

That does it. I'm moving to Texas!

3 comments:

Mr roT said...

Is this a GUT candidate?

Tecumseh said...

Pretty close, pretty close. Where is Coanda, though? And firing up the BBQ?

Pepe le Pew said...

ai - the french didn't attack russia in the winter. napo attacked in the spring if i recall - problem is the russians retreated, burned down moscow, and by the time the little man realized what was going on winter had shown up. These people were supposed to take a prompt beating and not use such unfair tactics.